Cómo citar
Hanif, A., Salah Uddin, M., Bakirtas, T., & Kader, S. A. . (2023). Nexo entre gasto militar y desempleo en Bangladesh. Revista Finanzas Y Política Económica, 15(1), 157–184. https://doi.org/10.14718/revfinanzpolitecon.v15.n1.2023.7
Licencia
Creative Commons License

Esta obra está bajo una licencia internacional Creative Commons Atribución-NoComercial-CompartirIgual 4.0.

Esta revista está autorizada por una licencia de atribución Creative Commons (CC BY-NC-SA 4.0) Attribution-Non Commercial 4.0 International. Para las licencias CC, el principio es el de la libertad creativa. Este sistema complementa el derecho de autor sin oponerse a este, conscientes de su importancia en nuestra cultura. El contenido de los artículos es responsabilidad de cada autor y no compromete, de ninguna manera, a la revista o a la institución. Se permite la divulgación y reproducción de títulos, resúmenes y contenido total, con fines académicos, científicos, culturales, siempre y cuando, se cite la respectiva fuente. Esta obra no puede ser utilizada con fines comerciales.

Licencia de Creative Commons

La revista no cobra a los autores por la presentación o la publicación de sus artículos

Resumen

El propósito de este estudio es investigar el impacto del gasto militar en el desempleo en Bangladesh, investigando la cointegración entre desempleo, gasto militar e inversión extranjera directa (IED). También aclaran las dinámicas de corto y largo plazo de estas variables. El estudio utiliza el enfoque ARDL con prueba de límites para investigar la cointegración entre variables mediante series de tiempo con datos anuales para el periodo 1990-2018. La variable
dependiente es el desempleo y las variables independientes son el gasto militar y la IED. La investigación encontró una relación de larga duración entre las variables. Un incrmento en el gasto militar reduce el desempleo significativamente en el corto plazo, sin embargo, no se encontró ninguna relación significativa de largo plazo. A mayor la IED, mayor el desempleo en el largo plazo. Este estudio contribuye a cerrar la brecha en investigación sobre el impacto del gasto militar y la IED en el desempleo. Por lo que sabemos, este es el primer estudio en analizar la relación entre desempleo, gasto militar e IED en Bangladesh mediante ARDL con prueba de límites mediante series de tiempo con datos anuales.

Palabras clave:

Citas

Ahmad, F. (2013). The effect of oil prices on unemployment: Evidence from Pakistan. Business and Economics Research Journal, 4(1), 43.

Azam, M., Khan, F., Zaman, K., & Rasli, A. Md. (2016). Military expenditures and unemployment nexus for selected South Asian Countries. Social Indicators Research, 127(3), 1103–1117. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11205-015-0993-7 .

Aijaz Syed, A. (2021). The asymmetric relationship between military expenditure, economic growth and industrial productivity: An empirical analysis of India, China and Pakistan via the NARDL approach. Revista Finanzas y Política Económica, 13(1), 77-97.

Anwar, A. (2017). The Relationship between Poverty, Income Inequality and Unemployment: Evidence from ARDL and Bound Testing Approach.

Arouri, M., Ben Youssef, A., M'henni, H., & Rault, C. (2014). Exploring the causality links between energy and employment in African countries. IZA Discussions Pappers.

Bakirtas, T., & Akpolat, A. G. (2020). The relationship between crude oil exports, crude oil prices and military expenditures in some OPEC countries. Resources Policy, 67, 101659. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.resourpol.2020.101659

Brincikova, Z., & Darmo, L. (2014). The impact of FDI inflow on employment in V4 countries. European Scientific Journal, 1(Special Ed.). https://doi.org/10.19044/esj.2014.v10n7p%25p

Chester, E. (1978). Military spending and capitalist stability. Cambridge Journal of Economics, 2(3), 293-298.

Chowdhury, M., & Hossain, M. (2014). Determinants of unemployment in Bangladesh: A case study. Developing Country Studies, 4(3).

Dickey, D. A., & Fuller, W. A. (1979). Distribution of the estimators for autoregressive time series with a unit root. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 74(366a), 427-431. https://doi.org/10.2307/2286348

Dunne, P., & Smith, R. (1990). Military expenditure and unemployment in the OECD. Defence and Peace Economics, 1(1), 57-73. https://doi.org/10.1080/10430719008404650

Eita, J. H., & Ashipala, J. M. (2010). Determinants of unemployment in Namibia. International Journal of Business and Management, 5(10), 92. https://doi.org/10.5539/ijbm.v5n10p92

Engle, R. F., & Granger, C. W. (1987). Co-integration and error correction: representation, estimation, and testing. Econometrica: Journal of the Econometric Society, 251-276. https://doi.org/10.2307/1913236

George, E., & Oseni, J. (2012). The relationship between electricity power and unemployment rates in Nigeria. Australian Journal of Business and Management Research, 2(2), 10. https://doi.org/10.52283/NSWRCA.AJBMR.20120202A02

Henderson, E. A. (1998). Military spending and poverty. The Journal of Politics, 60(2), 503-520. https://doi.org/10.2307/2647920

Hooker, M., & Knetter, M. (1994). Unemployment effects of military spending: evidence from a panel of states. National Bureau of Economic Research, NBER Working Papers 4889

Hoover, K. D. (1995). Relative wages, rationality, and involuntary unemployment in Keynes's labor market. History of Political Economy, 27(4), 653-685.

Johansen, S. (1991). Estimation and hypothesis testing of cointegration vectors in Gaussian vector autoregressive models. Econometrica: Journal of the Econometric Society, 1551-1580. https://doi.org/10.2307/2938278

Kollias, C., Paleologou, S.-M., & Tzeremes, P. (2020). Defence spending and unemployment in the USA: Disaggregated analysis by gender and age groups. Peace Economics, Peace Science and Public Policy, 26(2). https://doi.org/10.1515/peps-2018-0052 .

Malizard, J. (2014). Defense spending and unemployment in France. Defence and Peace Economics, 25(6), 635-642. https://doi.org/10.1080/10242694.2013.857450

Maqbool, M. S., Mahmood, T., Sattar, A., & Bhalli, M. (2013). Determinants of unemployment: Empirical evidences from Pakistan. Pakistan Economic and Social Review, 51(2), 191-208.

Mpanju, A. K. (2012). The impact of foreign direct investment on employment creation in Tanzania. International Journal of Business Economics & Management Research, 2(1), 126-139.

Pesaran, M. H., & Shin, Y. (1998). An autoregressive distributed-lag modelling approach to cointegration analysis. Econometric Society Monographs, 31, 371-413.

Pesaran, M. H., Shin, Y., & Smith, R. J. (2001). Bounds testing approaches to the analysis of level relationships. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 16(3), 289-326. https://doi.org/10.1002/jae.616

Raju, M. H., & Ahmed, Z. (2019). Effect of military expenditure on economic growth: evidences from India, Pakistan, and China using cointegration and causality analysis. Asian Journal of German and European Studies, 4, 1-8. https://doi.org/10.1186/s40856-019-0040-6

Satya, P. (1996). Defence spending and unemployment rates. An empirical analysis for the OECD. Journal of Economic Studies, 23(2), 44-54. https://doi.org/10.1108/01443589610109667

Siddika, R., & Ahmad, S. (2022). Trade liberalization and economic growth: A cross-country study using updated Sachs-Warner Index. Asian Journal of Economic Modelling, 10(3), 216-225. https://doi.org/10.55493/5009.v10i3.4581

Tang, J. H., Lai, C. C., & Lin, E. S. (2009). Military expenditure and unemployment rates: Granger causality tests using global panel data. Defence and Peace Economics, 20(4), 253-267. https://doi.org/10.1080/10242690903105257

Zeb, N., Qiang, F., & Sharif, M. (2014). Foreign direct investment and unemployment reduction in Pakistan. International Journal of Economics and Research, 5(2), 10-17.

Zhong, M., Chang, T., Tang, D. P., & Wolde-Rufael, Y. (2015). The causal nexus between military spending and unemployment in the G7: A bootstrap panel causality test. Defence and Peace Economics, 26(6), 609–622. https://doi.org/10.1080/10242694.2014.994835 .

Yule, G. U. (1926). Why do we sometimes get nonsense-correlations between Time Series?--a study in sampling and the nature of time-series. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, 89(1), 1-63. https://doi.org/10.2307/2341482

World Development Indicators DataBank. (n.d.). Retrieved March 18, 2023, from https://databank.worldbank.org/source/world-development-indicator

##submission.citations.for##

Sistema OJS 3 - Metabiblioteca |