Revisiting inflation and growth nexus in Bangladesh: an asymmetric cointegration based on non-linear ARDL approach

Resumen

El alto crecimiento económico sostenible es el principal objetivo de un país. Considerando que la inflación es uno de los factores críticos que afectan el desarrollo económico. El nexo crecimiento-inflación es uno de los temas más controvertidos en el mundo actual. Este estudio vuelve a investigar el vínculo entre la inflación y el desarrollo económico de Bangladesh mediante el empleo de un enfoque no lineal autorregresivo distribuido rezagado (NARDL). Para este estudio, utilizamos un conjunto de datos de series de tiempo anuales sobre la tasa de crecimiento del producto interno bruto per cápita y la tasa de inflación para el rango de tiempo de 1986 a 2017. El resultado de cointegración asimétrica basado en el enfoque NARDL muestra la confirmación de ejecutar la integración entre la tasa de crecimiento del PIB y la tasa de inflación (IPC). El estudio encuentra un nexo positivo y sólido entre la tasa de crecimiento y la tasa de inflación. La relación existe tanto a largo como a corto plazo. Los resultados también son estadísticamente significativos. Este estudio explora además que existe una relación asimétrica entre la tasa de inflación y la tasa de crecimiento económico. El enfoque ARDL no lineal muestra que la tasa de crecimiento del PIB responde más con un cambio ascendente en la inflación que con un cambio descendente.

Palabras clave:

Cointegración asimétrica Bangladesh Crecimiento económico Inflación Modelo de distribución rezagada no lineal autorregresivo (NARDL)

Citas

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