How to Cite
Gómez Ríos, J. J. (2009). Political management and cyclical effects on high-powered money base and public debt in Colombia during 20th century. Revista Finanzas Y Política Económica, 1(2), 9–34. Retrieved from https://revfinypolecon.ucatolica.edu.co/article/view/550
License

This journal is licensed by a Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY-NC-SA 4.0) Attribution-Non Commercial 4.0 International. For the CC licenses, the principle isthe creative freedom. This system complements the copyright without opposing it, conscious of its importance in our culture. The content of the articles is the responsibility of each author, and does not compromise in any way, to the journal or the university. It allows the transmission and reproduction of titles, abstracts and full content, with academic, scientific, cultural ends, provided acknowledgment of the respective source. This work cannot be used for commercial purposes. 

Licencia de Creative Commons

They journal does not charge authors for submission or publication.

Abstract

The ideological orientation of governments, the timing of elections and the particular interests of the politicians can affect importantly the economic policy in any of its components. It is possible that a government establishes its economic policies either following the ideological orientation of the party which it belongs to or “handling” the economy to stay in the power. The timing of elections could determine the economic turn according to the voter’s decision. If they decide not to support the incumbent, it brings out a substitution in the policymaker and a change in the economic outcome, in other words there is a political cycle. Based in annual data at the national level during the 20th century this investigation pretends to look for the existence of opportunistic or partisan political cycles on the total public debt and its basic components, as well as high-powered money.

Keywords:

References

Alesina, A., N. Roubini, and G. D. Cohen. Political Cycles and the Macroeconomy. Cambridge: MIT Press, 1997.

Brender, A. y A. Drazen. Where Does The Political Budget Cycle Really Come From Centre for Economic Policy Research Discussion Paper Series 4049, 2003.

Cukierman A., S. B. Webb y B. Neyapti. Measuring the Independence of Central Banks and its Effect on Policy Outcomes, in The World Bank Economic Review, 6 (3): 353-398,1992.

Cukierman A., S. B. Webb y B. Neyapti. Independencia del Banco Central e instituciones responsables de la política monetaria: pasado, presente y futuro, en Economía Chilena, 9 (1): 1-25, 2006.

Cukierman A., S. B. Webb y B. Neyapti. Legal, Actual, and Desirable Independence: A Case Study of the Bank of Israel, in N. Liviatan y H. Barkai (eds.). The Monetary History of Israel, vol. II. Reino Unido: Oxford University Press, 2007. Disponible http://www.tau.ac.il/~alexcuk/pdf/boiactvslegl-4.pdf

Drazen, A. y M. Eslava. The political business cycle in Colombia on the National and Regional level, en Archivos de Economía-Departamento Nacional de Planeación, 215, 2003.

Drazen, A. The Political Business Cycle after 25 Years. Hebrew University of Jerusalem and NBER. Mayo, 2000. Disponible en http://citeseer.ist.psu.edu/343952.html

Escobar, A. Ciclos políticos y ciclos económicos en Colombia: 1950-1994, en Coyuntura Económica, 26 (1): 115-141, 1996.

Fresard, M., M. López y S. Gallón. El ciclo político-económico en Colombia, 1925-1999, en Lecturas de Economía, 56, enero-junio 2002. Centro de Investigaciones Económicas (CIE). Facultad de Ciencias Económicas Universidad de Antioquia.

Grilli, V., D. Masciandro and G. Tabellini. Political and Monetary Institutions and Public Financial Policies in the Industrial Countries, in Economic Policy, 13, 1991, pp. 341-92.

González, F. y V. Calderón. Las reformas tributarias en Colombia durante el siglo XX (I y II). 2002, Disponible en www.dnp.gov.co/Boletines de divulgación económica.

Hernández, M. Nacimiento, vida y filosofía de los partidos políticos tradicionales. Disponible en https://estudiantes.gfc.edu.co/MariaHernandez/partidos1

Hibbs, D. A. Jr. Political parties and Macroeconomic Policy, in American Political Science Review, 718 (4): 1467-1487, 1977.

Jácome, L., and F. Vázquez. Any Link between Legal Central Bank Independence and Inflation Evidence from Latin America and the Caribbean. Documento de Trabajo 05/75. Fondo Monetario Internacional, 2005.

Junguito, R. y H. Rincón. La política fiscal en el siglo XX en Colombia, en Borradores de Economía, 318, Banco de la República, 2004.

King, R., and Rebelo, S. Resuscitating Real Business Cycles. NBER Working paper 7534, 2006.

Kydland, F. E., and E. C. Prescott. Rules rather than discretion: The inconsistency of optimal plans, in The Journal of Political Economy, 85 (3): 473-492, 1977.

Maloney, J., A. C., Pickering, K. Hadri. Political Business Cycles and Central Bank Independence, in Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, 113 (486), C167-C181, 2003.

Nordhaus, W. D. The Political Business Cycle, in The Review of Economic Studies, 42 (2), 169-190, 1975.

Partido Conservador Colombiano. Pensamiento, 2006. Disponible en: http://partidoconservador.org/index.phpsection=14#mod_675

Partido Liberal Colombiano. Plataforma ideológica, 2006. Consultado en: http://www.partidoliberal.org.co/root/index.phpoption=com_content&task=view&id=39&Itemid=7

Persson, T. Do Political Institutions Shape Economic Policy NBER Working Paper 8214, 2001.

Rogoff, K. The optimal degree of commitment to an intermediate monetary target, in Quarterly Journal of Economics, 100, 1985.

Sánchez, F. y S. Espinosa. Impuestos y reformas tributarias en Colombia 1980-2003, 2008. Disponible en Word Wide web: http://economia.uniandes.edu.co

Shi, M. and Svensson, J. Political Budget Cycles: A review of recent developments, in Nordic Journal of Political Economy, 2003.

Sierra, J. E. 50 Protagonistas de la economía colombiana. Bogotá: Universidad Jorge Tadeo Lozano, Colección de Estudios de Economía, 2004.

##submission.citations.for##

Sistema OJS 3 - Metabiblioteca |